Controversy about monetization of revenue and profits at MySpace has held back shares of News Corp so far this year despite outstanding December quarter earnings, increased guidance for the fiscal year ending this June, and commentary from Rupert Murdoch and other senior executives stating that so far the company is feeling any impact from the […]
Apple has staged a strong recovery, rising 33% from its 2008 intraday low in late February. The beta effect during the recent rally certainly has helped but continuing good news on Mac sales and speculation over the 3G iPhone have been equally responsible. A long-time friend and institutional salesperson, JK, recently IM”d me noting that […]
https://dev.northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gif00Steve Birenberghttps://dev.northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gifSteve Birenberg2008-04-06 20:50:322008-04-06 20:50:32Thinking About Apple
With all the writing I do on the movie business, sometimes I fear that I miss the big picture. Weekly box office or holiday DVD sales can be important factors in short-term trading of movie-related stocks but the long-term trends are less volatile and more important for a fundamentally based investor like me. With that […]
https://dev.northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gif00Steve Birenberghttps://dev.northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gifSteve Birenberg2008-04-04 11:02:302008-04-04 11:02:30The Big Picture on Movie Studios
Merrill Lynch has put out the latest edition of its quarterly report on pricing trends in travel industries. I summarized this report last quarter because it think it offers insights into both inflation trends and the health of the economy. The inflation link is self-explanatory. On economic health, my theory is that pricing in travel […]
Northlake’s Market Cap model shifted from Mid Cap to Large Cap for April. As a result, I sold all client positions in the S&P 400 ETF (MDY) and swapped into the S&P 500 Spyder (SPY). The underlying indicators in the model were unchanged. This shift occurred because the model is based on two-month smoothing and […]
Last Friday, the Newspaper Association of America released its 4Q07 and full year 2007 advertising expenditure data. Not surprisingly, the NAA titled its press release, “Online Advertising Jumps 19 percent in 2007.” The only problem with headline is that online advertising represented just 7.5% of all newspapers ads last year. Print advertising, which represents the […]
https://dev.northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gif00Steve Birenberghttps://dev.northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gifSteve Birenberg2008-03-31 16:27:172008-03-31 16:27:17Newspapers Final 2007 Data As Ugly As Expected
The upfront TV advertising market will kick off in May as usual despite dire protestations during the writer’s strike that it would be a casualty of a new post-strike business model for broadcast and cable networks. NBC is saying it will not participate as usual but all the rest of the major broadcast and cable […]
https://dev.northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gif00Steve Birenberghttps://dev.northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gifSteve Birenberg2008-03-20 13:43:202008-03-20 13:43:20Previewing The TV Upfront
Catching up some email, I found a couple of interesting pieces on the major media companies from Merrill Lynch analyst and my friend, Jessica Reif Cohen. Back in early March, Jessica noted that as a group the media companies she follows reported 4Q07 earnings ahead of her estimates. Her universe had revenue growth of 15% […]
https://dev.northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gif00Steve Birenberghttps://dev.northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gifSteve Birenberg2008-03-19 09:35:522008-03-19 09:35:52Big Media Fundamentals Holding Up For Now
I was quite pleased with the 4Q07 results, 2008 guidance, and conference call from American Apparel (APP), which reported after the close last night. The consensus I was using consisted of just one analyst so it wasn’t really meaningful. Just three analysts asked questions on the call but they were enthusiastic, asked a lot of […]
https://dev.northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gif00Steve Birenberghttps://dev.northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gifSteve Birenberg2008-03-18 09:32:492008-03-18 09:32:49Good News From American Apparel But Stock Remains Under Pressure
Central European Media Enterprises (CETV) shares have steadied since the sharp fall last week following announcement and pricing of their convertible deal. The timing on the convert was terrible coming in the midst of the market’s meltdown. I think the fact that it included a complicated capped call transaction made folks shutter as complicated is […]
MySpace Miss Pressures News Corp
Controversy about monetization of revenue and profits at MySpace has held back shares of News Corp so far this year despite outstanding December quarter earnings, increased guidance for the fiscal year ending this June, and commentary from Rupert Murdoch and other senior executives stating that so far the company is feeling any impact from the […]
Thinking About Apple
Apple has staged a strong recovery, rising 33% from its 2008 intraday low in late February. The beta effect during the recent rally certainly has helped but continuing good news on Mac sales and speculation over the 3G iPhone have been equally responsible. A long-time friend and institutional salesperson, JK, recently IM”d me noting that […]
The Big Picture on Movie Studios
With all the writing I do on the movie business, sometimes I fear that I miss the big picture. Weekly box office or holiday DVD sales can be important factors in short-term trading of movie-related stocks but the long-term trends are less volatile and more important for a fundamentally based investor like me. With that […]
What Do Inflating Travel Costs Mean?
Merrill Lynch has put out the latest edition of its quarterly report on pricing trends in travel industries. I summarized this report last quarter because it think it offers insights into both inflation trends and the health of the economy. The inflation link is self-explanatory. On economic health, my theory is that pricing in travel […]
April 2008 Model Signals
Northlake’s Market Cap model shifted from Mid Cap to Large Cap for April. As a result, I sold all client positions in the S&P 400 ETF (MDY) and swapped into the S&P 500 Spyder (SPY). The underlying indicators in the model were unchanged. This shift occurred because the model is based on two-month smoothing and […]
Newspapers Final 2007 Data As Ugly As Expected
Last Friday, the Newspaper Association of America released its 4Q07 and full year 2007 advertising expenditure data. Not surprisingly, the NAA titled its press release, “Online Advertising Jumps 19 percent in 2007.” The only problem with headline is that online advertising represented just 7.5% of all newspapers ads last year. Print advertising, which represents the […]
Previewing The TV Upfront
The upfront TV advertising market will kick off in May as usual despite dire protestations during the writer’s strike that it would be a casualty of a new post-strike business model for broadcast and cable networks. NBC is saying it will not participate as usual but all the rest of the major broadcast and cable […]
Big Media Fundamentals Holding Up For Now
Catching up some email, I found a couple of interesting pieces on the major media companies from Merrill Lynch analyst and my friend, Jessica Reif Cohen. Back in early March, Jessica noted that as a group the media companies she follows reported 4Q07 earnings ahead of her estimates. Her universe had revenue growth of 15% […]
Good News From American Apparel But Stock Remains Under Pressure
I was quite pleased with the 4Q07 results, 2008 guidance, and conference call from American Apparel (APP), which reported after the close last night. The consensus I was using consisted of just one analyst so it wasn’t really meaningful. Just three analysts asked questions on the call but they were enthusiastic, asked a lot of […]
CETV Presents At Bear Stearns Conference
Central European Media Enterprises (CETV) shares have steadied since the sharp fall last week following announcement and pricing of their convertible deal. The timing on the convert was terrible coming in the midst of the market’s meltdown. I think the fact that it included a complicated capped call transaction made folks shutter as complicated is […]