NII Holdings (NIHD) reported 4Q08 results and provided 2009 guidance at the end of February. I thought the 4Q figures were quite good considering the economic environment but the stock sold off sharply due to guidance that was below estimates. However, the guidance miss was due to foreign currency, in particular, the weakness of the […]
The bear market accelerated in February. I think three things were at work. First, economic statistics on a global basis decelerated rapidly in January and February. Second, as corporations reported their year end results they confirmed the accelerating weakness in the economy. Third, Wall Street frustration with government’s response to the crisis boiled over. Put […]
Central European Media Enterprises (CETV) reported mixed 4Q08 results excluding impairment charges and currency impacts. Commentary on 2009 was much bleaker than the company had previously admitted but was more or less in line with recent analyst comments and estimates. In fact, Goldman this morning made virtually no changes to its model. The story on […]
https://dev.northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gif00Steve Birenberghttps://dev.northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gifSteve Birenberg2009-02-26 09:32:332009-02-26 09:32:33CETV: Macro Outlook Takes Company and Stock Out of Management Control For Now
I finally got something right. Discovery Communications (DISCA) reported another positive surprise (EBITDA +23%, margins +700 basis points) and provided upbeat 2009 guidance. The stock responded by jumping 15%, leaving it within 10% of its mid-September, pre-crash level. 4Q08 benefited from continued strength in domestic and international advertising, ongoing growth in domestic and international distribution […]
https://dev.northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gif00Steve Birenberghttps://dev.northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gifSteve Birenberg2009-02-25 15:41:402009-02-25 15:41:40Discovery Communicaitons Provides Some Good News
Despite my hopes that Dreamworks Animation (DWA) had a good set up going into last night’s earnings reports, the stock is going to trade down sharply this morning. Adjusted for a one-time tax benefit, EPS missed estimates due to higher costs associated with new ventures to diversify revenue (TV, virtual worlds, Broadway) and an adjustment […]
Several of Northlake’s long positions report this week beginning tonight with Dreamworks Animation (DWA). DWA has been very weak as the collapse in DVD sales has crushed estimates and compacted long-term valuation. However, the stock may be a good setup for a rebound. Getting past the earnings report could allow investors to look forward where […]
Here’s the morning after Oscar edition of Monday Media Musings. The Bull Market Can Found at Your Local Theater The good news at the box office continues. Based on data form BoxOfficeMojo.com, the top 12 films were 33% this weekend. This leaves the 2009 winning streak intact with every weekend up year-over-year. Year-to-date, the box […]
https://dev.northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gif00Steve Birenberghttps://dev.northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gifSteve Birenberg2009-02-23 10:07:352009-02-23 10:07:35Monday Media Musings: February 23, 2009
Back in late November when Time Warner was trading just over $9, I wrote a column for Real Money explaining Why You Should Own the shares. Today the stock stands at $7.56, down about 16%, a bit worse than the S&P 500 which is down almost 13%. During this time, Disney (DIS) and News Corporation […]
https://dev.northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gif00Steve Birenberghttps://dev.northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gifSteve Birenberg2009-02-20 10:25:472009-02-20 10:25:47Time Warner Break Up Approved
Time for some Monday Media Musings on a Wednesday morning. Box Office Remains Strong with Time Warner running 1 and 2 The weekend box office was up 36% for the top 12 films keeping alive this year’s winning streak. So far 2009 is up 15% vs. 2008, a truly impressive performance. Time Warner (TWX) got […]
https://dev.northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gif00Steve Birenberghttps://dev.northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gifSteve Birenberg2009-02-18 10:05:202009-02-18 10:05:20Monday Media Musings on a Wednesday: February 18, 2009
Monday Media Musings is back despite battling a major technology crash at Northlake. Servers are back and all the backup systems functioned well. Box Office Booming in 2009 Americans continue to go to the movies. Whether it is a relatively cheap night, a desire to leave their troubles, or just a hot streak of good […]
https://dev.northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gif00Steve Birenberghttps://dev.northlakecapital.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/nl_logo.gifSteve Birenberg2009-02-09 09:59:112009-02-09 09:59:11Monday Media Musings: February 9, 2009
NII Holdings: Business Holding Up, Stock Going Down
NII Holdings (NIHD) reported 4Q08 results and provided 2009 guidance at the end of February. I thought the 4Q figures were quite good considering the economic environment but the stock sold off sharply due to guidance that was below estimates. However, the guidance miss was due to foreign currency, in particular, the weakness of the […]
March 2009 Model Signals and Market Comments
The bear market accelerated in February. I think three things were at work. First, economic statistics on a global basis decelerated rapidly in January and February. Second, as corporations reported their year end results they confirmed the accelerating weakness in the economy. Third, Wall Street frustration with government’s response to the crisis boiled over. Put […]
CETV: Macro Outlook Takes Company and Stock Out of Management Control For Now
Central European Media Enterprises (CETV) reported mixed 4Q08 results excluding impairment charges and currency impacts. Commentary on 2009 was much bleaker than the company had previously admitted but was more or less in line with recent analyst comments and estimates. In fact, Goldman this morning made virtually no changes to its model. The story on […]
Discovery Communicaitons Provides Some Good News
I finally got something right. Discovery Communications (DISCA) reported another positive surprise (EBITDA +23%, margins +700 basis points) and provided upbeat 2009 guidance. The stock responded by jumping 15%, leaving it within 10% of its mid-September, pre-crash level. 4Q08 benefited from continued strength in domestic and international advertising, ongoing growth in domestic and international distribution […]
Sold Dreamworks as Weak Quarter Raises Long-Term Issues
Despite my hopes that Dreamworks Animation (DWA) had a good set up going into last night’s earnings reports, the stock is going to trade down sharply this morning. Adjusted for a one-time tax benefit, EPS missed estimates due to higher costs associated with new ventures to diversify revenue (TV, virtual worlds, Broadway) and an adjustment […]
Dreamworks Animation Earnings Preview
Several of Northlake’s long positions report this week beginning tonight with Dreamworks Animation (DWA). DWA has been very weak as the collapse in DVD sales has crushed estimates and compacted long-term valuation. However, the stock may be a good setup for a rebound. Getting past the earnings report could allow investors to look forward where […]
Monday Media Musings: February 23, 2009
Here’s the morning after Oscar edition of Monday Media Musings. The Bull Market Can Found at Your Local Theater The good news at the box office continues. Based on data form BoxOfficeMojo.com, the top 12 films were 33% this weekend. This leaves the 2009 winning streak intact with every weekend up year-over-year. Year-to-date, the box […]
Time Warner Break Up Approved
Back in late November when Time Warner was trading just over $9, I wrote a column for Real Money explaining Why You Should Own the shares. Today the stock stands at $7.56, down about 16%, a bit worse than the S&P 500 which is down almost 13%. During this time, Disney (DIS) and News Corporation […]
Monday Media Musings on a Wednesday: February 18, 2009
Time for some Monday Media Musings on a Wednesday morning. Box Office Remains Strong with Time Warner running 1 and 2 The weekend box office was up 36% for the top 12 films keeping alive this year’s winning streak. So far 2009 is up 15% vs. 2008, a truly impressive performance. Time Warner (TWX) got […]
Monday Media Musings: February 9, 2009
Monday Media Musings is back despite battling a major technology crash at Northlake. Servers are back and all the backup systems functioned well. Box Office Booming in 2009 Americans continue to go to the movies. Whether it is a relatively cheap night, a desire to leave their troubles, or just a hot streak of good […]