Fourth Quarter Box Office Preview

Earlier today, I provided a brief wrap-up of the excellent third quarter performance of the box office which rose at least 15%. Looking ahead to the fourth quarter of 2007, the comparison looks fairly easy although the lack of obvious mega blockbusters suggests only a moderate low to mid-single digit gain. For example, admissions revenue […]

Third Quarter Box Office Is A Blockbuster

The final totals are in on the third quarter box office and as I have chronicled the results are spectacular. According to data I pull from BoxOfficeMojo.com, the box office rose 15% in the third quarter. My spreadsheet goes back to 2004 and that is by far the best comparison for any quarter. The strength […]

October 2007 Model Signals

There are no changes to the signals from Northlake’s Market Cap and Style models for October. The market cap model continues to flash a strong signal in favor of large cap outperformance. The style model is now flashing its strongest signal since the late 1999/early 2000 market peak for growth stocks. To capitalize on the […]

Ukraine Elections Positive For Central European Media Enterprises

Ukraine held elections for the third time in four years over the weekend. The pro-Western block of parties that originally formed the Orange Revolution were the surprise winners by a slight margin. Former Prime Minster Yulia Tymoshenko’s party produced the upside surprise bringing in over 30% of the vote, possibly coming in first place. With […]

Key Questions Heading Into Earnings Season

With quarterly earnings reports set to pour in starting next week, I thought I’d provide a brief overview of what to look for in each of Northlake’s individual stock holdings. Given recent volatility in stocks prices and growing concerns over the future of the US economy, 3Q earnings and guidance commentary may be the most […]

Box Office Update

The weekend box office fell 2% for the top 12 grossing films. This breaks a string of 10 consecutive up weekends. The drop-off vs. last year is less than $1.7 million so it is possible, but doubtful, that when actual results as opposed to estimates are tallied the winning streak will continue. The box office […]

More Debate on Comcast

Following my post yesterday on Comcast, my buddy, hedge fund manager and soon to be anchor on the Fox Business Channel, Cody Willard, replied with a bearish view of the stock. Among Cody’s objections to my ongoing bullish stance on Comcast is, “$14 billion of market cap losses for wasting tens of billions of shareholder […]

Mea Culpa on Comcast

Mea culpa. Comcast made a new low for this latest down move yesterday, falling more than 3% on what looks like its highest volume day ever before recovering slightly to lose 2.7%. This action occurred after the stock rose a whopping 11 cents in Tuesday’s 335 point advance in the Dow. I feel your pain. […]

Forget The Time Warner Breakup Stories

I want to echo the comments about Time Warner made yesterday by Chris Atayan, my RealMoney.com colleague. Despite renewed speculation, a breakup of the company is unlikely to add value in the near-term. Time Warner is overanalyzed and sum of the parts has been modeled exhaustively. If the sum of the parts were significantly higher […]

NY Times Shares at 20 Year Low!

New York Times shares traded below $20 yesterday for the first time since April 1997. As recently as June, NYT was over $26. The stock was over $30 almost two years ago exactly. In 2002, NYT shares briefly traded over $50. NYT’s fall yesterday was matched by new lows for McClatchy and Lee Enterprises. Gannett […]